Poll
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Newyork
No Poll Can Tell Biden What He Needs to Hear
“Will this be the thing that causes his voters to abandon him? How much will this hurt his numbers?” are questions that I, as a pollster, have been asked a lot over the past eight years. And the answers are almost always the same: You know, as crazy ...
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US
The Debate Hurt Biden, but the Real Shift Has Been Happening for Years
A 3-point move toward Trump in a new Times/Siena poll is not a fundamental change in the race, but it adds to longstanding concerns.
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US
Republicans Rally Behind Trump After Conviction, Times/Siena Poll Finds
President Biden continues to confront deeper doubts among Democrats than former President Donald J. Trump faces among Republicans — even after Mr. Trump was convicted of 34 felony charges last month, according to a new poll by The New York Times and ...
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US
Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.
The latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump up by six points among registered voters and three among likely voters.
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US
Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker
What do the polls say about the race for the White House? With less than five months to go, new poll averages from The New York Times, which debut today, show a very close race nationally and in the critical battleground states. On average, the ...
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US
Methodology: How The Times Calculates 2024 Polling Averages
An average of surveys may sound straightforward, but even a simple approach faces a series of choices.
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Newyork
I Was a Republican Partisan. It Altered the Way I Saw the World.
I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was a conservative constitutional litigator and occasional Republican Party activist, before my journalism career. I’d helped form a group called ...
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US
Battleground Polling Shows Ticket- Splitting Pattern
In four states where Biden trails among likely voters, Democratic Senate candidates are leading.
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US
Was Trump Benefiting From Being Out of the News?
His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change things.
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US
You Ask, We Answer: How The Times/Siena Poll Is Conducted
The New York Times/Siena College Poll has earned a reputation for accuracy and transparency. But as with any poll, there are limits to just how much you can derive.